Every so often… we’ll look at the line of a C’s game and determine where the smart money lies. The lines, as always, are courtesy of the good folks over at BetUS.com.
Today, BetUS has the line at Celtics -7.5.
As far as I’m concerned, the smart money is on the C’s here. They’ve played the Nets twice, and won by scores of 91-69 and 112-101. Furthermore, the C’s have followed losses this season with wins of 23, 45, and 25 points. Also… only 3 of the Celtics 13 road wins have been 7 or fewer points.
The over/under is 187 points. In their two games against NJ, the C’s were over that once, and under that once. In their blowout wins that came after losses, the total points were 187, 163, and 189. The lesson, the Celtics score a lot, but clamp down on the D.
I believe taking the over on the Celtics is always a risk because of their defense. Sure, the Celtics are always a threat to hit 100 points, but they’re also very likely to hold teams to under 90.
So the final verdict: I think giving 7.5 and taking the Celtics is a no brainer tonight. The o/u makes me a little weary… but I think the evidence points us to the under.
John’s LATL record: 1-1-1
Disclaimer: Don’t gamble if its illegal where you are. And don’t gamble if losing will break you. If you lose… don’t come bitching to me. I didn’t give anyone your money… you did.